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Biden is currently trailing Trump in the swing states 538′s polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election, accounting for pollster quality and house effects, poll recency, sample size, partisanship, mode and population effects, whether a poll tested named third-party candidates, and ...
lead over President Trumpin the national polls. But recent state-level surveysalso give Biden an edgeover Trump in a number of key swing states. And of course, how Trump and Biden do at the state level matters the most, as that’s how the outcome in the Electoral College will be ...
The 2024 US election could be decided by a few hundred thousand voters in just seven swing states. So what do the latest polls look like?
The better way to evaluate polls is how close they come on vote margins, and this year, polling margins will be fairly far off in several swing states as well as in national polls. As of this writing, Biden leads by3.4 percentage pointsin the national popular vote. We expect him to imp...
At 538, we publish rolling averages for a variety of elections and questions, such as the 2024 presidential race nationally and in swing states, the president's approval rating, the favorability of various politicians and more. If a poll comes out with a surprising finding, it can be ...
ByAlex Isenstadt|October 09, 2024 05:32 PM Trump gains slim lead in Michigan, battleground poll finds New Quinnipiac polls of the Rust Belt states show troubling signs for Democrats. ByKierra Frazier|October 09, 2024 04:54 PM Biden decries Trump’s ‘onslaught of lies’ as Milton nears lan...
Yeah, we've looked at swing states. A lot of the swing states also look very close. And, you know, especially some of the sort of, you know, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania – I'd say more, you know, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – they look they look close. And I think that's ...
By ADAM WREN 05/30/2024 05:00 AM EDT Biden's Billions Poll: Biden touts his 4 major infrastructure and clean energy laws. Voters doubt they’re working. By STEVEN SHEPARD 05/08/2024 05:00 AM EDT 2024 Elections Trump holds slight lead over Biden in 6 swing states, WSJ poll finds ...
White House and the Biden campaign are banking on is that even though people say the economy is the most important issue to them, at the end of the day, enough of those crucial swing voters will perhaps prioritise other issues. So what are those other issues in the eyes of the Democrats...